Oscar
nominations: Academy snubs lesbian sex machines, deranged mothers – and
Christopher Nolan
Mo'Nique
and Tom Sherak announce the best picture nominees (Photo: Reuters)
This
year’s Oscar nominations were announced this afternoon – so, in
time-honoured fashion, let’s take a look at who’ll win what. Colin Firth may
feature.
Best Picture
Nominated: Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception,
The Kids Are All Right, The King’s Speech, 127 Hours, The
Social Network, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winter’s
Bone
Should win: The Social Network
Will win: The King’s Speech
An altogether solid line-up this year, and it’s
heartwarming to think that Toy Story 3 has some small chance of
rounding off the trilogy with a victory lap award. But no, this year belongs to
Mark Zuckerberg and Bertie Windsor; I’m calling a Best Picture/Director split
between The King’s Speech and The Social Network, with Tom
Hooper’s Britflick edging it due to its perfect storm of royalty, disability
and World War Two. It’s a pleasure to see Winter’s Bone in there, too.
Best Director
Nominated: Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan; Joel Coen
and Ethan Coen, True Grit; David Fincher, The Social Network;
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech; David O. Russell, The Fighter
Should win: Christopher Nolan, Inception [not even
nominated!]
Will win: David Fincher, The Social Network
In what’s likely to prove the big controversy, Christopher
Nolan has received the proverbial snub from the Academy, with his brainy
blockbuster Inception denied a directing nod. What, did they think
that the revolving corridor fight was the producers’ idea, or that Ellen Page
just dreamed up bending Paris herself? Anyway, David Fincher is surely set to
continue his cakewalk across the award ceremonies with The Social Network.
Given its mix of complex backchat and technical skill, that’s hardly a
disgraceful choice for the panel – but come on.
Best Actor
Nominated: Javier Bardem, Biutiful; Jeff Bridges, True
Grit; Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network; Colin Firth, The
King’s Speech; James Franco, 127 Hours
Should win: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
Will win: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
It’s hard to imagine anyone else from this list going home
happy come February 27th, especially given that our Col woz robbed for A
Single Man. That said, it could be fun watching James Franco trying to mix
the standard gush of an acceptance speech with his co-hosting duties.
Best Actress
Nominated: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right;
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole; Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone;
Natalie Portman, Black Swan; Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine
Should win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Will win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Again, given the momentum she’s built up, it would be tough
to see Portman not winning for her against-type turn in Black Swan.
Watch out for awkward moments in the Blue Valentine camp: of the two
leads, roughly equal in screentime and quality of performance, Michelle
Williams has picked up a nomination, and Ryan Gosling has not. On a lighter
note, Jennifer Lawrence’s presence for indie underdog Winter’s Bone is
a real grin.
Best Supporting Actor
Nominated: Christian Bale, The Fighter; John
Hawkes, Winter’s Bone; Jeremy Renner, The Town; Mark Ruffalo,
The Kids Are All Right, Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
Should win: Christian Bale, The Fighter
Will win: Christian Bale, The Fighter/Geoffrey
Rush, The King’s Speech [tie]
Too close to call for Best Supporting Actor: the Academy
may want to flesh out The King’s Speech tally, and Rush did do a
fantastic job, or they may want to complete
the redemptive narrative of Christian Bale’s return post-freakout return to
proper acting. Either way, it’s a strong list this year, and again the
presence of a Winter’s Bone cast member is a good thing. But where’s
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network’s secret weapon?
Best Supporting Actress
Nominated: Amy Adams, The Fighter; Helena
Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech;
Melissa Leo, The Fighter;
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit; Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Should win: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Will win: Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
An acting sweep for The King’s Speech is an almost
sure thing, but 14-year-old Hailee Steinfeld surely deserves some recognition
for her astonishingly self-possessed performance in True Grit. Although,
given she narrates and is in pretty much every scene, is this really the
category to do it in? Note also the absence of both Mila Kunis and Barbara
Hershey for Black Swan. What exactly does the Academy not like about
lesbian sex machines and deranged smother mothers?
Best Adapted Screenplay
Nomated: Simon Beaufoy and Danny Boyle, 127 Hours;
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network; Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew
Stanton, and Lee Unkrich, Toy Story 3;
Joel Coen and Ethan
Coen, True Grit; Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini, Winter’s Bone
Should win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Will win: Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Easy one, this. There really is no competition. But what
exactly is Toy Story 3 adapted from?
Best Original Screenplay
Nominated: Mike Leigh, Another Year; Keith
Dorrington, Eric Johnson, Scott Silver, and Paul Tamasy, The Fighter;
Christopher Nolan, Inception; Stuart Blumberg and Lisa Cholodenko, The
Kids Are All Right; David Seidler, The King’s Speech
Should win: Christopher Nolan, Inception
Will win: David Seidler, The King’s Speech
The Academy has been known to shunt films it wants to
reward but doesn’t quite know how to into the winner’s category for this: I
call it the Pulp Fiction principle. Could Christopher Nolan pick up
some consolation for his bizarre directing snub with a writing Oscar? Not
likely, given the zingers in David Seidler’s script for The King’s Speech.
Best Foreign Language film
Nominated: Biutiful, Dogtooth, In A
Better World, Incendies, Hors La Loi (Outside The Law)
Should win: Of Gods and Men [not nominated]
Will in: Roll a dice
Dogtooth is by far the
standout film on this list, but that’s usually a dead certain sign it won’t win
– witness what happened to The White Ribbon and A Prophet last
year. The real scandal is the absence of Xavier Beauvois’s sensational Of
Gods and Men, a powerfully moving account of the spiritual life of some
monks in Algeria. Without it, this category really is a farce, and given the
weird, weird decisions made in it over the years, it really is anybody’s game.
Best Documentary
Nominated: Exit Through The Gift Shop, Gasland,
Inside Job, Restrepo, Waste Land
Should win: Inside Job
Will win: Restrepo
The golden age of documentary continues with yet another
strong shortlist: Inside Job, looking at the financial crisis of
recent years, got the righteous indignation flowing, but it’s likely that
Sebastian Junger and Tim Hetherington’s action-man heroics in getting the
powerful Afghan combat footage in Restrepo will be rewarded instead.
It’ll be fun to see how Banksy chooses to appear for Exit Throught the Gift
Shop, too…